Our experts have developed a model to help the rail industry understand the risk of Covid-19 transmission when travelling by train.
This short video shows how we are helping rail understand, reduce and manage the impact of Covid-19 so passengers can make a return to rail.
Throughout the pandemic we have been developing and refining our Covid-19 passenger infection risk model to inform and support our members. The model incorporates multiple inputs including:
- passenger demand levels
- train service provision
- the Office for National Statistics reported community infection and antibody and vaccination rates along with data on effectiveness of vaccines and antibodies
- face covering usage rates for passengers
- train ventilation details
- train loading distribution data
- information on test and trace, proportion of symptomatic cases and adherence to isolation requirements
- information on the relative infectiousness of variants.
Our model uses these inputs to calculate average risk estimates for infection and consequences for different scenarios. It means the model provides a range of insights as opposed to just one single probability based on one fixed scenario. The information has guided the industry to ensure that passenger rail travel is as safe as possible from Covid throughout this time.
All the available evidence suggests that the risks to passengers are low. Current projections suggest that the impact of any increased transmission of the Delta variant will be very limited in terms of hospitalisations and deaths, thanks to the vaccination programmes.
Updates will be published every two weeks and are available only to RSSB members on request – contact your engagement manager or get in touch with us via the Customer Portal.